Those of you who have been reading this column for many years know that I often speculate about the probability of connections. Sometimes I put forth some amateur statistical analysis.
In the last issue, I estimated that only one percent of business cards have rounded corners. I received two on the same day.
You may remember that I recently wrote about a business survey I completed with the identical answers to one completed by one of the people that worked for me. I estimated that to have a 1 in 268 million chance of occurrence. You may also remember a column about the Mets winning a home game on September 11th by scoring 9 runs on 11 hits. In that column, I also detailed the only known professional baseball game, out of hundreds of thousands, where both teams scored runs in every inning.
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My sister, Susie, is also fascinated by numbers and patterns. Due to the COVID pandemic, I hadn’t seen her and her family in almost two years. A week before Thanksgiving, Susie, along with her husband and son, visited Philadelphia to attend her daughter’s Ph.D. dissertation defense. My wife and I drove to Philadelphia a couple of days later for a celebratory family lunch. While we were together, she relayed a crazy story to me involving numbers.
That evening, she began entering her data into the company’s system starting with the date of the party, which she entered as “111111.” When she had completed entry of the individual orders from the party, sales tax was applied. Her grand total was 1111.11 dollars. Susie double-checked her work, amazed that both the date and her total sales were recorded with six 1s!
While Susie’s coincidence isn’t particularly profound in my view, her observation and reaction would not have happened without:
(1) Pope Gregory XIII’s reformation of the Julian calendar, in 1582, which took an additional hundred and seventy-five years for the entire world to adopt;
(2) the notation of the date that is commonly used today, where only the first two digits of the year are written (in this case, 11/11/11, rather than 11/11/2011);
And (3) the US dollar, created in 1792 (Susie’s total for this event wouldn’t have been all 1s had she transacted in another currency, for example, 715.67 pounds or 857.89 Euros).
I find these improbable connections fascinating. What are the odds that at a party held on November 11, 2001, there would be exactly $1111.11 in sales? If you spot any improbable connections, let me know. I would welcome the opportunity to add your story to my column.
Susie had organized a party for November 11, 2011. There didn’t seem to be anything out of the ordinary as she conducted the event. It was well attended and hectic, as usual. As soon as it concluded, Susie packed up her samples and left the hostess’s house.
Over a decade ago, Susie worked as a representative for a jewelry company that marketed and sold its products through home shopping parties. These events take a substantial amount of effort to plan and execute, as they involve working with a person who is willing to host a party in her (or his) house.